Task Multi-Model Ensemble Risk Assessment
Last Published:  07/29/22 01:33:24 PM (Central)
Short Title: MERA
Responsible HRP Element: Space Radiation
Collaborating Org(s):
Funding Status: Active - Currently funded and in progress
Procurement Mechanism(s):

The Multi-model Ensemble Risk Assessment project will develop an ensemble modeling approach for risk assessment where REID acceptance is determined based on the region of overlap between multiple predictive models allowing a straight forward method to input information derived from multiple sources including international risk prediction models.


Specific Aims:

Aim 1:  Determine mathematical formulism to implement multiple probabilistic and deterministic risk models into a single risk framework.

Aim 2: Identify common risk quantification parameters across cancer, cardiovascular disease, and late neurodegeneration consistent with Human System Risk Board quality of life consequences.

Aim 3: Develop visualization of results to support risk communication and decision making.

Aim 4: Develop multi-scale model for the evaluation of countermeasure efficacy based on human epidemiology and radiobiology data from NSRL.

Aim 5: Develop methodology to down select models for inclusion and retirement including appropriate weighting factors.


Models will be configuration managed and fully documented in accordance with appropriate NASA software develop standards
Resources (None Listed)